by flamejuggler
awesome infoporn.you can definitely tell which 2 corp factions can consistently win via flatline!
the runner clearly has the advantage early game while the corp is still icing up, though the early game often doesn't last long! but they can steal quick lucky wins, and the data backs that up with the turn 10 or earlier comparison. then again, that stat is misleading, as if the corp isnt winning via flatline, it cant realistically win without alot of credits and turns, which isnt true for the runner.
the runner seems to spike back up on wins compared to corp in the late 30s of game turns, which I suppose is when you can assume pretty much ANY runner has a full breaker kit online by then if the game isnt over. makes sense to me.
lategame is anyones game, but if a corp is relying solely on scoring in a remote server after waiting a turn, that can be very very difficult due to runner's ability to break in within a turn, that I feel pretty confident about, though I have seen the occasional super mega nasty server that can buy multiple turns (often fueled by a ABT and/or priority req). but many corp decks have some fast advance features to allow scoring straight from HQ in one turn, or have native 1 turn agendas to get that final point in. and you can bluff and feint when desperate. A corp needs a plan for how to play when the runner gets the advantage back late game. the point margin at that stage and how lucky runner got early can influence this alot. If the runner's rig is fully setup in full swing and the corp isnt only one more agenda away from a win...its going to be a tough game for the corp to win usually.
seeing these 2 main histograms overlaid on top of each other might make it easier to read ;)